Market Wrap: 10 February 2023

Market Wrap: 10 February 2023

Asia Stocks, US Bonds Fall as Rates Outlook Sours:

  • Treasury yields maintain their climbs across the curve
  • Bets for US peak rates increase after jobless claims data


Stocks in Asia fell after US equities dropped for a second day and Treasuries slid as investors began to adjust for the prospect of higher interest rates as the Federal Reserve battles inflation.

An Asia equity benchmark was headed for its second straight weekly fall as shares declined in China, Australia and South Korea. Futures on US equity contracts were also in the red after both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 dropped on Thursday. The picture was different in Japan, with stock gains supported by positive earnings from chipmakers. 

Treasury yields continued their climbs across the curve after investors pushed yields on the two-year Treasury above the 10-year’s by the most since the early 1980s, a sign of flagging confidence in the economy’s ability to withstand additional Fed hikes. 

Next week’s inflation update from the US offers a relevant potential inflection point in the Treasury yield curve, according to Benjamin Jeffery and Ian Lyngen, strategists at BMO Capital Markets Corp. “Our expectations are that the market takes away sufficient angst regarding the prevailing inflation trend to press the inversion trade even further,” they wrote in a note.

Market pricing for US rates to peak in July inched higher as investors digested the fresh data and the drumbeat of central bankers signposting further tightening ahead. Fed Bank of Richmond President Thomas Barkin said it’s important to continue hiking to rein in inflation. His comments echoed the sentiment from four Fed officials who spoke Wednesday.


The dollar was broadly flat in Asia trading. The offshore yuan was also range-bound. Chinese inflation data showed consumer prices rose 2.1% in January from a year earlier, in line with market forecasts.

Australian bond yields fell slightly after the central bank released its quarterly statement, in which it boosted its forecast for core inflation this year, underscoring the need for even higher borrowing costs. 


Japan’s government is planning to announce a new Bank of Japan governor on Feb. 14, a move that will be closely watched by markets. The yen has been fluctuating since Nikkei reported early this week that BOJ Deputy Governor Masayoshi Amamiya might succeed Haruhiko Kuroda at the helm of the central bank.


Meanwhile, Lyft Inc. shares tumbled about 30% in after-hours trading following an earnings outlook that significantly missed analysts’ estimates as it prepares to sacrifice profits in a bid to attract riders with lower prices. In the regular session, Tesla Inc. extended a rally that has pushed the electric-vehicle maker’s stock price up about two-thirds this year. Alphabet Inc. shares fell further on concerns about its artificial intelligence chatbot unveiled earlier this month.

Bitcoin steadied a Thursday decline that pushed the cryptocurrency down 4.8% Thursday, the biggest one-day drop since November, amid speculation about a regulatory crackdown.

Elsewhere, oil trimmed a weekly gain as investors weighed the threat of a global economic slowdown against a bullish outlook for Chinese demand following the end of Covid Zero. Gold held near the lowest close in more than a month.




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